I wasn't joking about massa being a contender.
Hamilton will have troubles. So I don't think he will be up there every race. Vettel would be the only one to be up there most of the season. So the rest is a points game, not number of races won unfortunately. Massa has been very consistent in the second half of the season.
It'll be dependent on how Ferrari is early in the season. Anything like this year then it'll be like this year again.